von Karman Institute Lecture Series and Events

RTO AVT-193 activity

Short Course on Uncertainty Quantification
13-14 May 2011
Oud Sint-Jan Conference Centre, Bruges, Belgium

Closing 7th European Aerothermodynamics Symposium of 9-12 May 2011, the von Karman Institute offers on site in Bruges a short course on “Uncertainty Quantification”. The availability of powerful computational resources and general-purpose numerical algorithms creates increasing opportunities to attempt flow simulations in complex systems such as hypersonic entry and cruise vehicles. How accurate are the resulting predictions? Are the mathematical and physical models correct? Do we have sufficient information to define relevant operating conditions and safety margins? In general, how can we establish “error bars” on the results?

At the interface between physics, mathematics, probability and optimization, the present course will be the opportunity to introduce Uncertainty Quantification to the computational fluid dynamics community, under the auspices of ESA and RTO.

Who should participate

The lectures are of introductory nature although advanced methods and concepts are also discussed. The course targets computational scientists familiar with classical numerical methods and having a basic understanding of probability and statistics.

Printed notes will be provided to the participants

Registration

Registration fee is 100€, The contact person is This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it. from the von Karman Institute. The registration should be sent to the RTO ---> Please register here

For non-NATO citizens, a request should be sent directly to RTO (RTO Paris, attn: Mr. N. Vandenabeele  – OCD Division, rue Ancelle 7, 92200 Neuilly-sur-Seine, France, or by e-mail to Mr N. Vandenabeele) at least 6 weeks prior to this course. The acceptance should then be joined to your registration and sent to VKI.

TIMETABLE

Friday 13 May 2011

• 08.00 Welcome and Breakfast
• 09.00 Prof. G. Iaccarino, Stanford University (USA)
  Introduction to uncertainty analysis and uncertainty representations
• 10.30 Prof. H. Bijl, Delft University of Technology (The Netherlands)
  Surrogate models and adaptive strategies for uncertainty analysis, I
• 12.00 Lunch Break
• 13.00 Prof. R. Abgrall,  INRIA, The University of Bordeaux
• Combined discretization in physical and stochastic space, I
• 14.30 Coffee Break
• 14.45 Prof. H. Bijl
  Surrogate models and adaptive strategies for uncertainty analysis, II
• 16.15 Prof. R. Abgrall
  Combined discretization in physical and stochastic space, II

Saturday 14 May 2011

• 08.00 Breakfast
• 09.00 Prof. Vincent Terrapon, University of Liege (Belgium)
  Balancing sources of errors and uncertainties - Application to failure mode analysis of scramjets
• 10.30 Dr. S. Prudhomme, The Universisty of Texas at Austin (USA)
  Calibration and Bayesian inversion, I, ICES
• 12.00 Lunch Break
• 13.00 Dr. S. Prudhomme
  Calibration and Bayesian inversion, II
• 14.30 Closing

Location : Oud Sint-Jan Conference Centre, Bruges, Belgium